19th September VENEZIA - LAZIO

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• The market has a firm view on this one. Lazio is the shortest price on a book of 3.9 / 3.5 / 1.91 (1 / X / 2), an implied 49.1%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 24.1% / 26.8% / 49.1% on an overround of 6.6%.

• In the league table Venezia sit 20th on 0 points (0W 0D 4L) with Lazio 4th on 10 points (3W 1D 0L).

• Venezia read L-L-L-L-W-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 1D 4L) — poor.

• Lazio read D-W-W-W-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (4W 1D 1L) — a strong recent run.

• Head to head the record reads 0-1-4 — Venezia wins, draws, then Lazio wins. Their last meeting finished Venezia - Lazio: 0-0.

• Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Venezia first, then Lazio, out of their last six: BEST-WORST (2 wins against 1 defeats).

• Venezia team news: Giovanni Stroppa will maintain his 3-5-2 system for the visit of Lazio, with Filip Stanković continuing in goal.

• Venezia team news: The defense needs a reshuffle following Moreno's absence, paving the way for Juan Jesus to join the back three alongside Hailal and Schingtienne.

• Lazio team news: Opposing head coach Gennaro Gattuso is set to deploy a 4-3-3 formation despite a growing injury crisis, with Danilho Doekhi the latest victim.

• Lazio team news: A backline of Romano Floriani Mussolini, Josip Šutalo, Adamo Provstgaard, and Nuno Tavares will protect Christos Mandas in goal.

• Venezia are without 8 — Bartol Franjic (Out - injured), Gianluca Busio (Out - injured), Armel Bella-Kotchap (Out - injured), Toma Basic (Out - injured), Marin Sverko (Out - injured), Andrea Adorante (Out - injured).

• Lazio are without 6 — Danilho Doekhi (Out - injured), Nicolò Rovella (Out - injured), Alessio Furlanetto (Out - injured), Filipe Bordon (Out - injured), Patric (Out - injured), Fisayo Dele-Bashiru (Out - injured).

• Early lineups are in: Venezia set up 3-5-2 against 4-3-3. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.

• Venezia lean hardest on Ridgeciano Haps (8.9), John Yeboah (8.9), Filip Stankovic (8.9) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Gianluca Busio is out for Venezia — index 7.7, against 9.1 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Armel Bella-Kotchap is out for Venezia — index 6.6, against 9.1 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Toma Basic is out for Venezia — index 7.7, against 9.1 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Matías Moreno is out for Venezia — index 6.7, against 9.1 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Matteo Dagasso is out for Venezia — index 6.4, against 9.1 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Lazio lean hardest on Mattia Zaccagni (9.5), Andrea Pinamonti (9.5), Davide Frattesi (9.5) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Danilho Doekhi is out for Lazio — index 8.4, against 8.2 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Nicolo Rovella is out for Lazio — index 8.2, against 7.2 for the best cover we hold at his position. Noticeable.

• The projected score for this one is Venezia 1 - 2 Lazio, an away win by 1 with 3 goals in it — on the right side of the 2.5 line.

• The read: Lazio at 1.91 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 18th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.