19th September ROMA - INTER

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• Bookmakers have this as close to a coin toss as the 1X2 market gets. Inter is the shortest price on a book of 2.7 / 3.4 / 2.55 (1 / X / 2), an implied 37.1%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 35.1% / 27.8% / 37.1% on an overround of 5.7%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.4 (27.8%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Roma sit 1st on 12 points (4W 0D 0L) with Inter 2nd on 12 points (4W 0D 0L).

• Roma read W-D-W-W-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (5W 1D 0L) — about as good as form gets.

• Inter read W-L-W-W-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (4W 0D 2L) — a strong recent run.

• Head to head the record reads 2-0-4 — Roma wins, draws, then Inter wins. Their last meeting finished Inter - Roma: 5-2.

• Roma team news: Gasperini has a fully fit squad, with both N'Dicka and Wesley returning to the team.

• Roma team news: Both are set to begin the crucial clash against Inter, replacing Balerdi and Lulli respectively, although the young Italian faces competition from Molina for a spot.

• Inter team news: Chivu will be without Çalhanoğlu, who picked up a muscle injury and will be back after the international break.

• Inter team news: Zieliński takes his place in deep-lying midfield, with Barella and Jones operating as box-to-box midfielders. On the left, Dimarco returns from a knee issue, while Spence is not yet fit, so Diouf will play on the right.

• Inter are without 3 — Hakan Çalhanoglu (Out - injured), Djed Spence (Out - unfit), John Stones (Out - injured).

• Early lineups are in: Roma set up 3-4-1-2 against 3-5-2. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.

• Roma lean hardest on Bryan Cristante (9.5), Paulo Dybala (9.5), Gianluca Mancini (9.5) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Inter lean hardest on Piotr Zielinski (7.6), Manuel Akanji (7.6), Lautaro Martínez (7.6) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Hakan Çalhanoglu is out for Inter — index 6.0, against 8.3 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• John Stones is out for Inter — index 7.3, against 7.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• The projected score for this one is Roma 2 - 2 Inter, a draw with 4 goals in it — on the right side of the 2.5 line.

• The read: Everything here points at a tight, low-tempo game. The draw at 3.4 is the selection the numbers keep coming back to, and the unders are the natural second look.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 18th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.