19th September GUINGAMP - RED STAR

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• Bookmakers have this as close to a coin toss as the 1X2 market gets. Guingamp is the shortest price on a book of 2.38 / 3.1 / 2.6 (1 / X / 2), an implied 37.3%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 37.3% / 28.6% / 34.1% on an overround of 12.7%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.1 (28.6%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Guingamp sit 9th on 8 points (2W 2D 2L) with Red Star 4th on 11 points (3W 2D 1L).

• Guingamp read W-D-D-L-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 2D 2L) — patchy.

• Red Star read W-W-L-D-D-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 2D 1L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 0-0-4 — Guingamp wins, draws, then Red Star wins. Their last meeting finished Red Star - Guingamp: 3-2.

• The read: Everything here points at a tight, low-tempo game. The draw at 3.1 is the selection the numbers keep coming back to, and the unders are the natural second look.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 18th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.