19th September TOTTENHAM - ASTON VILLA

Prices are indicative and sourced from a range of bookmakers, and may differ from those of any individual bookmaker.

Open an account with Bet365

• The market has a firm view on this one. Tottenham is the shortest price on a book of 2.00 / 3.50 / 3.75 (1 / X / 2), an implied 47.5%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 47.5% / 27.1% / 25.3% on an overround of 5.2%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.50 (27.1%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Tottenham sit 17th on 2 points (0W 2D 2L) with Aston Villa 19th on 1 point (0W 1D 3L).

• Tottenham read D-D-L-L-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 2D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Aston Villa read L-W-D-L-L-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 1D 4L) — poor.

• Head to head the record reads 2-0-4 — Tottenham wins, draws, then Aston Villa wins. Their last meeting finished Aston Villa - Tottenham: 1-2.

• Tottenham team news: Pedro Porro is likely to return from the minor injury that ruled him out against Liverpool in the Carabao Cup.

• Tottenham team news: Sandro Tonali (knock) is a doubt after also sitting out the Anfield game.

• Aston Villa team news: Joao Gomes is fit after a three-game suspension but is a doubt after missing the Coventry cup tie with a minor problem.

• Aston Villa team news: Ian Maatsen is set to be sidelined for up to two months with an ankle injury, while Matteo Ruggeri is in contention for his Premier League bow.

• Tottenham are without 6 — Pedro Porro (Doubtful - injured), Sandro Tonali (Doubtful - injured), Wilson Odobert (Out - injured), Xavi Simons (Out - injured), Dejan Kulusevski (Out - injured), Richarlison (Out - ineligible).

• Aston Villa are without 4 — Ian Maatsen (Out - injured), Pau Torres (Out - injured), Amadou Onana (Out - injured), Leon Goretzka (Out - injured). Ian Maatsen (6.35/10) would normally be first on the team sheet — that is a real hole in this side.

• Early lineups are in: Tottenham set up 4-2-3-1 against 4-2-3-1. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.

• Tottenham lean hardest on Rodrigo Bentancur (9.5), Omar Marmoush (9.5), Sávio (9.5) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Pedro Porro is out for Tottenham — index 7.5, against 9.4 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Sandro Tonali is out for Tottenham — index 8.4, against 8.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Aston Villa lean hardest on Victor Lindelöf (8.4), Emiliano Buendía (8.4), John McGinn (8.4) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Ian Maatsen is out for Aston Villa — index 6.7, against 9.0 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Pau Torres is out for Aston Villa — index 7.8, against 9.0 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• The projected score for this one is Tottenham 2 - 1 Aston Villa, a home win by 1 with 3 goals in it — on the right side of the 2.5 line.

• The read: Tottenham at 2.00 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 18th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.