19th September NEWCASTLE - HULL

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• The market expects a one-sided afternoon. Newcastle is the shortest price on a book of 1.60 / 4.33 / 5.00 (1 / X / 2), an implied 59.2%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 59.2% / 21.9% / 18.9% on an overround of 5.6%.

• In the league table Newcastle sit 12th on 5 points (1W 2D 1L) with Hull 4th on 8 points (2W 2D 0L).

• Newcastle read L-D-W-D-L-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 2D 2L) — patchy.

• Hull read D-D-W-W-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (4W 2D 0L) — a strong recent run.

• Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Newcastle first, then Hull, out of their last six: DRAW 3 and 4.

• Newcastle team news: Anthony Elanga is facing a period on the sidelines with a leg injury, while Nico Gonzalez is also out after sustaining a concussion at Leeds.

• Newcastle team news: Dan Burn, Ewen Jaouen, Jacob Ramsey, Joelinton and William Osula will not be available until after the international break.

• Hull team news: Hull may have to make at least one alteration from their surprising draw at Stamford Bridge after defender Nobel Mendy sustained a head injury and was hospitalized.

• Hull team news: Young Australian Lucas Herrington might start in Mendy's stead.

• Newcastle are without 7 — Anthony Elanga (Out - injured), William Osula (Out - injured), Joelinton (Out - injured), Ewen Jaouen (Out - injured), Dan Burn (Out - injured), Jacob Ramsey (Out - injured).

• Hull are without 10 — Nobel Mendy (Doubtful - injured), Hidemasa Morita (Out - injured), Eliot Matazo (Out - injured), Óscar Zambrano (Out - injured), Ilyas Ansah (Out - injured), Darko Gyabi (Out - injured). Of those, Nobel Mendy (7.22/10) is the one this team genuinely misses.

• Early lineups are in: Newcastle set up 4-5-1 against 5-4-1. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.

• Newcastle lean hardest on Yoane Wissa (9.5), Harvey Barnes (9.5), Malick Thiaw (9.5) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Anthony Elanga is out for Newcastle — index 7.3, against 9.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Nico González is out for Newcastle — index 8.3, against 9.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Hull lean hardest on Matt Crooks (6.6), John Egan (6.6), Oliver McBurnie (6.6) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Nobel Mendy is out for Hull — index 7.8, against 9.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Hidemasa Morita is out for Hull — index 7.6, against 9.3 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• The projected score for this one is Newcastle 2 - 1 Hull, a home win by 1 with 3 goals in it — on the right side of the 2.5 line.

• The read: Newcastle at 1.60 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 18th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.