19th September BURTON - MANSFIELD

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• Bookmakers have this as close to a coin toss as the 1X2 market gets. Burton is the shortest price on a book of 2.5 / 3.3 / 2.57 (1 / X / 2), an implied 36.6%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 36.6% / 27.7% / 35.6% on an overround of 9.2%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.3 (27.7%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Burton sit 11th on 8 points (2W 2D 2L) with Mansfield 17th on 7 points (2W 1D 3L).

• Burton read L-D-W-L-W-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 2D 2L) — patchy.

• Mansfield read D-L-L-W-L-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 1D 4L) — poor.

• Head to head the record reads 1-3-0 — Burton wins, draws, then Mansfield wins. Their last meeting finished Mansfield - Burton: 0-0.

• Mansfield lean hardest on Elliott Hewitt (9.5), Michael Smith (9.5), Adedeji Oshilaja (9.5) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: Everything here points at a tight, low-tempo game. The draw at 3.3 is the selection the numbers keep coming back to, and the unders are the natural second look.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 18th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.