19th September SPORT RECIFE - JUVENTUDE

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• A narrow edge, nothing more. Sport Recife is the shortest price on a book of 2.35 / 3.1 / 3.1 (1 / X / 2), an implied 39.7%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 39.7% / 30.1% / 30.1% on an overround of 7.1%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.1 (30.1%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Sport Recife sit 9th on 41 points (10W 11D 7L) with Juventude 2nd on 50 points (14W 8D 6L).

• Sport Recife read L-W-L-L-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 0D 4L) — poor.

• Juventude read L-W-D-D-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 2D 1L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 2-0-4 — Sport Recife wins, draws, then Juventude wins. Their last meeting finished Sport Recife - Juventude: 0-2.

• Juventude lean hardest on Diogo Barbosa (9.5), Aderlan (9.3), Luan Martins Goncalves (9.3) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: Everything here points at a tight, low-tempo game. The draw at 3.1 is the selection the numbers keep coming back to, and the unders are the natural second look.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 18th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.