19th September MIRASSOL - BOTAFOGO RJ

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• The market leans one way without any real conviction. Mirassol is the shortest price on a book of 2.1 / 3.4 / 3.3 (1 / X / 2), an implied 44.4%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 44.4% / 27.4% / 28.2% on an overround of 7.3%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.4 (27.4%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Mirassol sit 15th on 29 points (7W 8D 12L) with Botafogo Rj 11th on 35 points (9W 8D 10L).

• Mirassol read D-W-L-D-D-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 4D 1L) — patchy.

• Botafogo Rj read W-D-D-L-L-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 2D 2L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 0-2-0 — Mirassol wins, draws, then Botafogo Rj wins. Their last meeting finished Mirassol - Botafogo Rj: 0-0.

• Mirassol lean hardest on Willian Machado (9.5), Reinaldo Manoel da Silva (9.2), Igor Formiga (8.2) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Botafogo Rj lean hardest on Victor da Silva (9.5), Daniel Oliveira (9.3), Alvaro Montoro (9.1) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: Mirassol at 2.1 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 18th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.