18th September ROASSO KUMAMOTO - MATSUMOTO YAMAGA

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• Bookmakers have this as close to a coin toss as the 1X2 market gets. Roasso Kumamoto is the shortest price on a book of 2.41 / 3.24 / 2.51 (1 / X / 2), an implied 37.0%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 37.0% / 27.5% / 35.5% on an overround of 12.2%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.24 (27.5%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Roasso Kumamoto sit 9th on 9 points (2W 3D 1L) with Matsumoto Yamaga 17th on 4 points (0W 4D 2L).

• Roasso Kumamoto read W-D-W-L-D-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 3D 1L) — patchy.

• Matsumoto Yamaga read L-D-D-D-L-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (0W 4D 2L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 2-0-4 — Roasso Kumamoto wins, draws, then Matsumoto Yamaga wins. Their last meeting finished Matsumoto Yamaga - Roasso Kumamoto: 2-0.

• The read: Everything here points at a tight, low-tempo game. The draw at 3.24 is the selection the numbers keep coming back to, and the unders are the natural second look.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 17th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.