18th September SHAMROCK ROVERS - WATERFORD FC

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• This is priced as a mismatch. Shamrock Rovers is the shortest price on a book of 1.45 / 4.2 / 5.75 (1 / X / 2), an implied 62.6%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 62.6% / 21.6% / 15.8% on an overround of 10.2%.

• In the league table Shamrock Rovers sit 2nd on 56 points (16W 8D 6L) with Waterford Fc 8th on 34 points (7W 13D 11L).

• Shamrock Rovers read L-D-D-L-D-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (0W 3D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Waterford Fc read D-D-W-D-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 3D 0L) — a strong recent run.

• Head to head the record reads 5-0-1 — Shamrock Rovers wins, draws, then Waterford Fc wins. Their last meeting finished Waterford Fc - Shamrock Rovers: 0-2.

• Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Shamrock Rovers first, then Waterford Fc, out of their last six: HT DRAW 3 and 5.

• The read: Shamrock Rovers at 1.45 is short enough that the value, if there is any, sits on the handicap or in the goals market rather than the outright.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 17th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.