18th September FINN HARPS - LONGFORD TOWN

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• Bookmakers are siding decisively with one team. Longford Town is the shortest price on a book of 3.90 / 3.78 / 1.82 (1 / X / 2), an implied 51.3%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 24.0% / 24.7% / 51.3% on an overround of 7.0%.

• In the league table Finn Harps sit 10th on 25 points (6W 7D 18L) with Longford Town 6th on 41 points (11W 8D 12L).

• Finn Harps read W-L-L-L-L-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 0D 5L) — a badly out of sorts side.

• Longford Town read L-L-D-W-L-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 1D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Head to head the record reads 0-5-1 — Finn Harps wins, draws, then Longford Town wins. Their last meeting finished Longford Town - Finn Harps: 5-0.

• Our last-six model flags 2 qualifying strikes here. Reading Finn Harps first, then Longford Town, out of their last six: O 3.50 5 and 3, HT O 1.50 3 and 5.

• The read: Longford Town at 1.82 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 17th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.