16th September DEPORTIVO LA CORUNA - SEVILLA

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• The market leans one way without any real conviction. Deportivo La Coruna is the shortest price on a book of 2.4 / 3.25 / 3 (1 / X / 2), an implied 39.4%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 39.4% / 29.1% / 31.5% on an overround of 5.8%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.25 (29.1%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Deportivo La Coruna sit 7th on 9 points (2W 3D 0L) with Sevilla 6th on 10 points (3W 1D 1L).

• Deportivo La Coruna read D-W-W-D-D-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 3D 1L) — patchy.

• Sevilla read W-D-L-W-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 1D 2L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 0-2-4 — Deportivo La Coruna wins, draws, then Sevilla wins. Their last meeting finished Deportivo La Coruna - Sevilla: 0-1.

• Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Deportivo La Coruna first, then Sevilla, out of their last six: HT DRAW 3 and 5.

• Deportivo La Coruna team news: Noe continues to be a doubt for the home team while he recovers from his injury.

• Deportivo La Coruna team news: He has been sidelined for just over a month now because of an ankle issue.

• Sevilla team news: Ruben Vargas is likely to be unavailable due to a recent knee injury.

• Sevilla team news: Arouna Sangante is back from suspension but could still be absent due to an ankle sprain.

• Deportivo La Coruna are without 1 — Noé (Doubtful - injured).

• Sevilla are without 2 — Rubén Vargas (Out - injured), Arouna Sangante (Doubtful - injured).

• Early lineups are in: Deportivo La Coruna set up 4-2-3-1 against 4-2-3-1. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.

• Deportivo La Coruna lean hardest on Ximo Navarro (8.7), Giacomo Quagliata (8.7), Mario Soriano (8.7) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Sevilla lean hardest on Odysseas Vlachodimos (8.2), Gabriel Suazo (8.2), Jon Guridi (8.2) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Arouna Sangante is out for Sevilla — index 6.6, against 9.2 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• The projected score for this one is Deportivo La Coruna 0 - 2 Sevilla, an away win by 2 with 2 goals in it — short of the 2.5 line.

• The read: Everything here points at a tight, low-tempo game. The draw at 3.25 is the selection the numbers keep coming back to, and the unders are the natural second look.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 15th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.