14th September WATERFORD FC - DERRY CITY

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• Bookmakers have this as close to a coin toss as the 1X2 market gets. Derry City is the shortest price on a book of 2.63 / 3.40 / 2.38 (1 / X / 2), an implied 38.4%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 34.7% / 26.9% / 38.4% on an overround of 9.5%.

• In the league table Waterford Fc sit 8th on 33 points (7W 12D 11L) with Derry City 5th on 37 points (8W 13D 9L).

• Waterford Fc read D-W-D-W-W-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 3D 0L) — a strong recent run.

• Derry City read W-D-L-W-D-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 2D 2L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 3-1-2 — Waterford Fc wins, draws, then Derry City wins. Their last meeting finished Derry City - Waterford Fc: 2-4.

• Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Waterford Fc first, then Derry City, out of their last six: HT DRAW 5 and 3.

• The read: With barely anything between them on price, this is one to leave alone in the 1X2 market and attack in the goals or handicap markets instead.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 13th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.