14th September HNK GORICA - NK VARAZDIN

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• The market leans one way without any real conviction. Nk Varazdin is the shortest price on a book of 3.27 / 3.45 / 2.12 (1 / X / 2), an implied 44.2%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 28.7% / 27.2% / 44.2% on an overround of 6.7%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.45 (27.2%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Hnk Gorica sit 10th on 1 point (0W 1D 5L) with Nk Varazdin 4th on 13 points (4W 1D 1L).

• Hnk Gorica read L-D-L-L-L-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (0W 1D 5L) — a badly out of sorts side.

• Nk Varazdin read D-W-L-W-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (4W 1D 1L) — a strong recent run.

• Head to head the record reads 1-4-1 — Hnk Gorica wins, draws, then Nk Varazdin wins. Their last meeting finished Hnk Gorica - Nk Varazdin: 1-1.

• The read: Nk Varazdin at 2.12 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 13th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.