13th September SSC NAPOLI - BOLOGNA

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• This is priced as a comfortable favourite. Ssc Napoli is the shortest price on a book of 1.8 / 3.5 / 4.75 (1 / X / 2), an implied 52.8%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 52.8% / 27.2% / 20.0% on an overround of 5.2%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.5 (27.2%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Ssc Napoli sit 12th on 3 points (1W 0D 2L) with Bologna 16th on 1 point (0W 1D 2L).

• Ssc Napoli read L-L-L-W-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 0D 3L) — patchy.

• Bologna read D-L-L-D-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 2D 2L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 1-1-2 — Ssc Napoli wins, draws, then Bologna wins. Their last meeting finished Ssc Napoli - Bologna: 2-3.

• Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Ssc Napoli first, then Bologna, out of their last six: NG 5 and 4.

• Ssc Napoli lean hardest on Alex Meret (9.5), Giovanni Di Lorenzo (8.0), Matteo Politano (8.0) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: Ssc Napoli at 1.8 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 12th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.