12th September AL-GHARRAF - DIYALA

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• The market leans one way without any real conviction. Al-gharraf is the shortest price on a book of 2.29 / 2.84 / 3.08 (1 / X / 2), an implied 39.2%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 39.2% / 31.6% / 29.2% on an overround of 11.3%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 2.84 (31.6%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Al-gharraf sit 16th on 5 points (1W 2D 3L) with Diyala 15th on 5 points (1W 2D 3L).

• Al-gharraf read L-D-L-L-W-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 2D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Diyala read L-L-D-D-L-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 2D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Head to head the record reads 0-2-0 — Al-gharraf wins, draws, then Diyala wins. Their last meeting finished Al-gharraf - Diyala: 0-0.

• The read: Al-gharraf at 2.29 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 12th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.