13th September AEK LARNACA - PAFOS FC

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• The market leans one way without any real conviction. Aek Larnaca is the shortest price on a book of 2.3 / 3.1 / 2.88 (1 / X / 2), an implied 39.4%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 39.4% / 29.2% / 31.4% on an overround of 10.5%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.1 (29.2%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Aek Larnaca sit 1st on 6 points (2W 0D 0L) with Pafos Fc 6th on 4 points (1W 1D 0L).

• Aek Larnaca read W-W-W-L-W-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (4W 1D 1L) — a strong recent run.

• Pafos Fc read D-W-W-D-D-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 3D 1L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 2-3-1 — Aek Larnaca wins, draws, then Pafos Fc wins. Their last meeting finished Aek Larnaca - Pafos Fc: 2-2.

• The read: Everything here points at a tight, low-tempo game. The draw at 3.1 is the selection the numbers keep coming back to, and the unders are the natural second look.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 12th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.