13th September NOVORIZONTINO - CUIABA

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• This is priced as a mismatch. Novorizontino is the shortest price on a book of 1.62 / 3.4 / 6 (1 / X / 2), an implied 57.3%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 57.3% / 27.3% / 15.5% on an overround of 7.8%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.4 (27.3%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Novorizontino sit 2nd on 49 points (14W 7D 6L) with Cuiaba 10th on 39 points (9W 12D 6L).

• Novorizontino read W-W-W-W-W-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (5W 1D 0L) — about as good as form gets.

• Cuiaba read W-L-W-D-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (4W 1D 1L) — a strong recent run.

• Head to head the record reads 2-0-0 — Novorizontino wins, draws, then Cuiaba wins. Their last meeting finished Cuiaba - Novorizontino: 0-1.

• The read: Novorizontino at 1.62 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 12th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.