11th September BURGOS CF - AD CEUTA FC

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• A heavy favourite, with the price to match. Burgos Cf is the shortest price on a book of 1.61 / 3.80 / 5.50 (1 / X / 2), an implied 58.3%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 58.3% / 24.7% / 17.1% on an overround of 6.6%.

• In the league table Burgos Cf sit 13th on 5 points (1W 2D 1L) with Ad Ceuta Fc 22nd on 0 points (0W 0D 4L).

• Burgos Cf read D-D-L-W-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 2D 1L) — patchy.

• Ad Ceuta Fc read L-L-L-L-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 0D 4L) — poor.

• Head to head the record reads 0-1-1 — Burgos Cf wins, draws, then Ad Ceuta Fc wins. Their last meeting finished Burgos Cf - Ad Ceuta Fc: 1-1.

• Our last-six model flags 2 qualifying strikes here. Reading Burgos Cf first, then Ad Ceuta Fc, out of their last six: U 2.50 4 and 4, NG 4 and 5.

• The read: Burgos Cf at 1.61 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 09:44 on 10th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.