11th September SEVILLA - VALENCIA

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• This is priced as a comfortable favourite. Sevilla is the shortest price on a book of 2.10 / 3.25 / 3.70 (1 / X / 2), an implied 45.2%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 45.2% / 29.2% / 25.6% on an overround of 5.4%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.25 (29.2%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Sevilla sit 6th on 7 points (2W 1D 1L) with Valencia 20th on 1 point (0W 1D 3L).

• Sevilla read D-L-W-W-L-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 1D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Valencia read L-L-L-D-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 1D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Head to head the record reads 0-4-2 — Sevilla wins, draws, then Valencia wins. Their last meeting finished Sevilla - Valencia: 0-2.

• Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Sevilla first, then Valencia, out of their last six: HT DRAW 5 and 3.

• The read: Sevilla at 2.10 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 09:44 on 10th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.