11th September HELMOND SPORT - JONG PSV

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• The market cannot separate these two. Jong Psv is the shortest price on a book of 2.55 / 3.75 / 2.40 (1 / X / 2), an implied 38.7%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 36.5% / 24.8% / 38.7% on an overround of 7.5%.

• In the league table Helmond Sport sit 14th on 5 points (1W 2D 2L) with Jong Psv 4th on 11 points (3W 2D 1L).

• Helmond Sport read W-L-D-L-D-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 2D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Jong Psv read W-D-D-W-L-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 2D 1L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 2-2-2 — Helmond Sport wins, draws, then Jong Psv wins. Their last meeting finished Jong Psv - Helmond Sport: 4-0.

• Our last-six model flags 2 qualifying strikes here. Reading Helmond Sport first, then Jong Psv, out of their last six: GG 5 and 5, HT GG 3 and 3.

• The read: With barely anything between them on price, this is one to leave alone in the 1X2 market and attack in the goals or handicap markets instead.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 09:44 on 10th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.