11th September ALEBRIJES OAXACA - ALACRANES DE DURANGO

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• There is barely a price between the sides. Alacranes De Durango is the shortest price on a book of 2.56 / 3.26 / 2.42 (1 / X / 2), an implied 37.2%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 35.2% / 27.6% / 37.2% on an overround of 11.1%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.26 (27.6%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Alebrijes Oaxaca sit 13th on 7 points (2W 1D 4L) with Alacranes De Durango 12th on 8 points (2W 2D 3L).

• Alebrijes Oaxaca read L-D-L-W-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 1D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Alacranes De Durango read D-D-L-L-L-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 2D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Alebrijes Oaxaca first, then Alacranes De Durango, out of their last six: U 2.50 4 and 4.

• The read: Everything here points at a tight, low-tempo game. The draw at 3.26 is the selection the numbers keep coming back to, and the unders are the natural second look.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 09:44 on 10th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.