11th September VENEZIA - FIORENTINA

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• A narrow edge, nothing more. Fiorentina is the shortest price on a book of 3.10 / 3.40 / 2.35 (1 / X / 2), an implied 40.8%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 31.0% / 28.2% / 40.8% on an overround of 4.2%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.40 (28.2%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Venezia sit 18th on 0 points (0W 0D 3L) with Fiorentina 20th on 0 points (0W 0D 3L).

• Venezia read L-L-L-W-D-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 1D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Fiorentina read L-L-L-D-W-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 2D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Head to head the record reads 2-2-1 — Venezia wins, draws, then Fiorentina wins. Their last meeting finished Venezia - Fiorentina: 2-1.

• The read: Everything here points at a tight, low-tempo game. The draw at 3.40 is the selection the numbers keep coming back to, and the unders are the natural second look.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 09:44 on 10th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.