11th September SHELBOURNE - DERRY CITY

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• A narrow edge, nothing more. Shelbourne is the shortest price on a book of 2.30 / 3.20 / 3.00 (1 / X / 2), an implied 40.2%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 40.2% / 28.9% / 30.8% on an overround of 8.1%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.20 (28.9%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Shelbourne sit 5th on 36 points (8W 12D 8L) with Derry City 6th on 34 points (7W 13D 9L).

• Shelbourne read D-D-D-L-L-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (0W 3D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Derry City read D-L-W-D-L-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 2D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Head to head the record reads 2-2-2 — Shelbourne wins, draws, then Derry City wins. Their last meeting finished Derry City - Shelbourne: 0-0.

• The read: Everything here points at a tight, low-tempo game. The draw at 3.20 is the selection the numbers keep coming back to, and the unders are the natural second look.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 09:44 on 10th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.