6th September PERUGIA - PINETO

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• This is priced as a mismatch. Perugia is the shortest price on a book of 1.70 / 3.40 / 5.09 (1 / X / 2), an implied 54.5%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 54.5% / 27.3% / 18.2% on an overround of 7.9%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.40 (27.3%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Perugia sit 10th on 0 points (0W 0D 0L) with Pineto 18th on 0 points (0W 0D 0L).

• Perugia read D-W-L-W-W-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 2D 1L) — patchy.

• Pineto read D-L-L-L-D-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (0W 2D 4L) — poor.

• Head to head the record reads 1-2-3 — Perugia wins, draws, then Pineto wins. Their last meeting finished Perugia - Pineto: 0-1.

• The read: Perugia at 1.70 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 5th September 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.