13th November ATLETICO MORELIA - LEONES NEGROS

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• This is priced as a comfortable favourite. Atletico Morelia is the shortest price on a book of 1.75 / 3.75 / 4.62 (1 / X / 2), an implied 54.2%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 54.2% / 25.3% / 20.5% on an overround of 5.5%.

• In the league table Atletico Morelia sit 4th on 3 points (1W 0D 0L) with Leones Negros 2nd on 3 points (1W 0D 1L).

• Atletico Morelia read W-W-L-W-L-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 1D 2L) — patchy.

• Leones Negros read W-L-W-W-L-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 1D 2L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 0-0-4 — Atletico Morelia wins, draws, then Leones Negros wins. Their last meeting finished Leones Negros - Atletico Morelia: 2-0.

• Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Atletico Morelia first, then Leones Negros, out of their last six: GG 6 and 4.

• The read: Atletico Morelia at 1.75 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 12th November 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.