10th November NORTHAMPTON - GILLINGHAM

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• A narrow edge, nothing more. Northampton is the shortest price on a book of 1.95 / 3.8 / 3 (1 / X / 2), an implied 46.2%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 46.2% / 23.7% / 30.0% on an overround of 10.9%.

• In the league table Northampton sit 4th on 0 points (0W 0D 2L) with Gillingham 3rd on 3 points (1W 0D 1L).

• Northampton read L-D-W-L-W-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 2D 2L) — patchy.

• Gillingham read W-L-D-L-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 1D 2L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 3-2-1 — Northampton wins, draws, then Gillingham wins. Their last meeting finished Gillingham - Northampton: 1-1.

• Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Northampton first, then Gillingham, out of their last six: GG 2 and 6.

• Northampton lean hardest on Jon Guthrie (9.5), Elliott Moore (9.5), Zach Jeacock (9.5) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Gillingham lean hardest on James Brophy (9.5), Nick Freeman (9.5), Andy Smith (9.5) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: Northampton at 1.95 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 22:30 on 9th November 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.