8th November CERRO PORTENO - RECOLETA

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• A heavy favourite, with the price to match. Cerro Porteno is the shortest price on a book of 1.48 / 4.10 / 6.00 (1 / X / 2), an implied 62.2%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 62.2% / 22.5% / 15.3% on an overround of 8.6%.

• In the league table Cerro Porteno sit 7th on 27 points (8W 3D 7L) with Recoleta 11th on 15 points (4W 3D 11L).

• Cerro Porteno read W-L-W-D-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 1D 2L) — patchy.

• Recoleta read L-W-D-W-L-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 1D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Head to head the record reads 5-0-1 — Cerro Porteno wins, draws, then Recoleta wins. Their last meeting finished Recoleta - Cerro Porteno: 1-3.

• Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Cerro Porteno first, then Recoleta, out of their last six: BEST-WORST (5 wins against 4 defeats).

• The read: Cerro Porteno at 1.48 is short enough that the value, if there is any, sits on the handicap or in the goals market rather than the outright.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 15:30 on 8th November 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.