6th November DIJON - RED STAR

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• The market cannot separate these two. Red Star is the shortest price on a book of 2.55 / 3.2 / 2.45 (1 / X / 2), an implied 36.7%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 35.2% / 28.1% / 36.7% on an overround of 11.3%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.2 (28.1%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Dijon sit 8th on 15 points (4W 3D 4L) with Red Star 6th on 17 points (5W 2D 4L).

• Dijon read W-L-L-W-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (4W 0D 2L) — a strong recent run.

• Red Star read L-L-L-W-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 0D 3L) — patchy.

• Our last-six model flags 4 qualifying strikes here. Reading Dijon first, then Red Star, out of their last six: O 2.50 6 and 4, O 3.50 4 and 3, GG 6 and 4, HT GG 4 and 2.

• The read: Everything here points at a tight, low-tempo game. The draw at 3.2 is the selection the numbers keep coming back to, and the unders are the natural second look.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 13:30 on 5th November 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.