5th November AL-MOSUL - DUHOK

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• There is a clear but slim favourite here. Duhok is the shortest price on a book of 2.82 / 3.00 / 2.30 (1 / X / 2), an implied 38.7%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 31.6% / 29.7% / 38.7% on an overround of 12.3%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.00 (29.7%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Al-mosul sit 16th on 12 points (3W 3D 6L) with Duhok 10th on 15 points (3W 6D 3L).

• Al-mosul read L-D-W-L-L-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 1D 4L) — poor.

• Duhok read L-W-L-W-D-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 1D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Head to head the record reads 0-2-0 — Al-mosul wins, draws, then Duhok wins. Their last meeting finished Al-mosul - Duhok: 3-3.

• Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Al-mosul first, then Duhok, out of their last six: BEST-WORST (5 wins against 5 defeats).

• The read: Everything here points at a tight, low-tempo game. The draw at 3.00 is the selection the numbers keep coming back to, and the unders are the natural second look.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 4th November 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.