5th November BENFICA - LECH POZNAN

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• A heavy favourite, with the price to match. Benfica is the shortest price on a book of 1.14 / 8.00 / 19.00 (1 / X / 2), an implied 83.2%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 83.2% / 11.9% / 5.0% on an overround of 5.5%.

• In the league table Benfica sit 1st on 9 points (3W 0D 0L) with Lech Poznan 32nd on 1 point (0W 1D 2L).

• Benfica read W-W-W-W-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (5W 0D 1L) — about as good as form gets.

• Lech Poznan read W-W-D-W-L-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (4W 1D 1L) — a strong recent run.

• Head to head the record reads 2-0-0 — Benfica wins, draws, then Lech Poznan wins. Their last meeting finished Benfica - Lech Poznan: 4-0.

• Our last-six model flags 3 qualifying strikes here. Reading Benfica first, then Lech Poznan, out of their last six: O 2.50 4 and 5, O 3.50 3 and 4, GG 4 and 5.

• Benfica lean hardest on Clement Lenglet (9.5), Alexander Bah (9.5), Fredrik Aursnes (9.2) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Lech Poznan lean hardest on Mateusz Lis (9.5), Joel Pereira (9.2), Patrik Waalemark (8.7) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: Benfica at 1.14 is short enough that the value, if there is any, sits on the handicap or in the goals market rather than the outright.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 4th November 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.