5th November STURM GRAZ - NK CELJE

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• The market expects a one-sided afternoon. Sturm Graz is the shortest price on a book of 1.53 / 4.33 / 5.75 (1 / X / 2), an implied 61.7%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 61.7% / 21.8% / 16.4% on an overround of 5.8%.

• In the league table Sturm Graz sit 19th on 4 points (1W 1D 1L) with Nk Celje 29th on 1 point (0W 1D 2L).

• Sturm Graz read D-D-W-W-L-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 2D 1L) — patchy.

• Nk Celje read D-L-L-L-D-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 2D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Sturm Graz first, then Nk Celje, out of their last six: HT GG 2 and 3.

• Sturm Graz lean hardest on Jon Gorenc-Stankovic (9.5), Joshua Quarshie (9.4), Simon Seidl (8.8) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Nk Celje lean hardest on Zan-Luk Leban (9.5), Milot Avdyli (9.0), Artemijus Tutyskinas (9.0) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: Sturm Graz at 1.53 is short enough that the value, if there is any, sits on the handicap or in the goals market rather than the outright.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 4th November 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.