5th November LEVSKI SOFIA - JAGIELLONIA BIALYSTOK

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• This is priced as a comfortable favourite. Levski Sofia is the shortest price on a book of 1.95 / 3.60 / 3.80 (1 / X / 2), an implied 48.7%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 48.7% / 26.4% / 25.0% on an overround of 5.4%.

• In the league table Levski Sofia sit 17th on 4 points (1W 1D 1L) with Jagiellonia Bialystok 27th on 3 points (1W 0D 2L).

• Levski Sofia read W-D-W-D-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 2D 1L) — patchy.

• Jagiellonia Bialystok read W-W-L-L-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 0D 3L) — patchy.

• Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Levski Sofia first, then Jagiellonia Bialystok, out of their last six: HT U 1.50 6 and 5.

• Levski Sofia team news: Gašper Trdin and Radoslav Kirilov will be absent for Julio Velázquez through injury, but the hosts appear to have emerged from their recent domestic fixtures without any additional selection concerns. Levski should therefore be able to retain much of the side behind their six-match unbeaten run, with their recent defensive performances providing a solid foundation ahead of this European encounter.

• Levski Sofia team news: Ognyan Vladimirov is likely to start behind a back four of Aldair, Kristian Dimitrov, Christian Makoun and Maicon. Levski have conceded just three goals across their last six competitive matches, while seven of their previous eight fixtures have had fewer than three goals. Their defensive shape has been crucial to their recent unbeaten streak, though they must stay vigilant against a Jagiellonia side that has regularly scored in domestic competition.

• Jagiellonia Bialystok team news: Adrian Siemieniec will be missing Norbert Wojtuszek due to injury, but the visitors have few other selection worries ahead of their trip to Bulgaria. Jagiellonia should therefore be able to field a largely unchanged side as they look to continue their recent domestic improvement and secure a second Europa League win of the season.

• Jagiellonia Bialystok team news: Sławomir Abramowicz may line up in front of Rodrigo Conceição, Bernardo Vital, Dušan Stojinović and Bartłomiej Wdowik. Jagiellonia have let in six goals in their last six matches, including three against Anderlecht in their previous European game. Their away defensive displays have been up and down, with both teams finding the net in six of their past eight UEFA away games, which might indicate they could fail to keep a clean sheet versus Levski.

• Levski Sofia are without 2 — Radoslav Kirilov (Out - injured), Gasper Trdin (Out - injured).

• Jagiellonia Bialystok are without 1 — Norbert Wojtuszek (Out - injured).

• Early lineups are in: Levski Sofia set up 4-2-3-1 against 4-3-3. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.

• Levski Sofia lean hardest on Kristian Dimitrov (9.3), Christian Makoun (9.3), Reinaldo (9.3) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Gasper Trdin is out for Levski Sofia — index 6.8, against 8.9 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Jagiellonia Bialystok lean hardest on Jesús Imaz (6.0), Bernardo Vital (6.0), Rodrigo Conceição (6.0) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Norbert Wojtuszek is out for Jagiellonia Bialystok — index 6.3, against 9.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• The projected score for this one is Levski Sofia 2 - 1 Jagiellonia Bialystok, a home win by 1 with 3 goals in it — on the right side of the 2.5 line.

• The read: Levski Sofia at 1.95 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 4th November 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.