31st October AUGSBURG - FREIBURG

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• The market leans one way without any real conviction. Freiburg is the shortest price on a book of 3.1 / 3.8 / 2.15 (1 / X / 2), an implied 44.3%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 30.7% / 25.0% / 44.3% on an overround of 5.1%.

• In the league table Augsburg sit 9th on 9 points (2W 3D 2L) with Freiburg 3rd on 13 points (4W 1D 2L).

• Augsburg read D-L-D-L-D-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 3D 2L) — patchy.

• Freiburg read L-L-L-W-W-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 1D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Head to head the record reads 1-2-1 — Augsburg wins, draws, then Freiburg wins. Their last meeting finished Augsburg - Freiburg: 2-2.

• Our last-six model flags 2 qualifying strikes here. Reading Augsburg first, then Freiburg, out of their last six: O 2.50 5 and 6, GG 6 and 5.

• Augsburg lean hardest on Finn Dahmen (9.5), Han-Noah Massengo (9.1), Chrislain Matsima (9.1) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Freiburg lean hardest on Maximilian Eggestein (9.5), Mio Backhaus (9.2), Matthias Ginter (8.5) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: Freiburg at 2.15 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 30th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.