31st October MILLWALL - DERBY

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• This is priced as a mismatch. Millwall is the shortest price on a book of 1.62 / 3.8 / 5 (1 / X / 2), an implied 57.1%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 57.1% / 24.4% / 18.5% on an overround of 8.0%.

• In the league table Millwall sit 13th on 15 points (4W 3D 5L) with Derby 23rd on 7 points (1W 4D 7L).

• Millwall read L-D-L-W-D-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 3D 2L) — patchy.

• Derby read D-L-L-D-D-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (0W 3D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Head to head the record reads 3-3-0 — Millwall wins, draws, then Derby wins. Their last meeting finished Millwall - Derby: 1-0.

• Millwall lean hardest on Jake Cooper (9.5), Caleb Taylor (9.5), Camiel Neghli (9.5) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Derby lean hardest on Sammie Szmodics (9.5), Sam Szmodics (9.1), Bobby Clark (9.1) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: Millwall at 1.62 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 30th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.