28th October ALIANZA ATLETICO - DEPORTIVO GARCILASO

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• Bookmakers are siding decisively with one team. Alianza Atletico is the shortest price on a book of 1.7 / 3.5 / 4.75 (1 / X / 2), an implied 54.2%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 54.2% / 26.3% / 19.4% on an overround of 8.4%.

• In the league table Alianza Atletico sit 8th on 22 points (7W 1D 5L) with Deportivo Garcilaso 3rd on 25 points (8W 1D 4L).

• Alianza Atletico read L-L-W-W-L-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 0D 3L) — patchy.

• Deportivo Garcilaso read W-L-L-W-L-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 0D 3L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 5-0-1 — Alianza Atletico wins, draws, then Deportivo Garcilaso wins. Their last meeting finished Deportivo Garcilaso - Alianza Atletico: 2-1.

• Our last-six model flags 4 qualifying strikes here. Reading Alianza Atletico first, then Deportivo Garcilaso, out of their last six: O 2.50 6 and 4, O 3.50 5 and 4, HT O 1.50 5 and 2, GG 6 and 3.

• Alianza Atletico lean hardest on Jose Lujan (9.5), German Gaston Diaz (9.5), Roman Gaston Suarez (9.4) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Deportivo Garcilaso lean hardest on Patrick Zubczuk (9.5), Agustin Gonzalez (9.2), Facundo Castelli (9.2) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: Alianza Atletico at 1.7 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 27th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.