27th October MANTOVA - CREMONESE

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• There is a clear but slim favourite here. Mantova is the shortest price on a book of 2.15 / 3.2 / 3.3 (1 / X / 2), an implied 43.0%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 43.0% / 28.9% / 28.0% on an overround of 8.1%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.2 (28.9%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Mantova sit 2nd on 17 points (5W 2D 1L) with Cremonese 18th on 6 points (1W 3D 4L).

• Mantova read W-L-W-D-W-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 2D 1L) — patchy.

• Cremonese read L-L-D-D-D-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 3D 2L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 2-1-3 — Mantova wins, draws, then Cremonese wins. Their last meeting finished Cremonese - Mantova: 4-2.

• Mantova lean hardest on Rares Ilie (9.5), Bodin Tomasevic (9.5), Francesco Ruocco (8.8) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Cremonese lean hardest on Adin Licina (9.5), Sebastiano Luperto (9.4), Morten Thorsby (9.3) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: Mantova at 2.15 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 08:50 on 26th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.