26th October SHINNIK YAROSLAVL - SPARTAK KOSTROMA

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• There is barely a price between the sides. Shinnik Yaroslavl is the shortest price on a book of 2.62 / 2.94 / 2.96 (1 / X / 2), an implied 36.0%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 36.0% / 32.1% / 31.9% on an overround of 6.0%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 2.94 (32.1%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Shinnik Yaroslavl sit 8th on 20 points (4W 8D 2L) with Spartak Kostroma 4th on 27 points (8W 3D 3L).

• Shinnik Yaroslavl read D-W-D-L-D-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 4D 1L) — patchy.

• Spartak Kostroma read W-L-L-W-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (4W 0D 2L) — a strong recent run.

• Head to head the record reads 0-2-0 — Shinnik Yaroslavl wins, draws, then Spartak Kostroma wins. Their last meeting finished Spartak Kostroma - Shinnik Yaroslavl: 1-1.

• Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Shinnik Yaroslavl first, then Spartak Kostroma, out of their last six: U 2.50 5 and 4.

• The read: Everything here points at a tight, low-tempo game. The draw at 2.94 is the selection the numbers keep coming back to, and the unders are the natural second look.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 25th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.