26th October TOLIMA - DEPORTIVO PASTO

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• The market expects a one-sided afternoon. Tolima is the shortest price on a book of 1.45 / 4.2 / 7 (1 / X / 2), an implied 64.4%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 64.4% / 22.2% / 13.3% on an overround of 7.1%.

• In the league table Tolima sit 10th on 20 points (5W 5D 5L) with Deportivo Pasto 20th on 9 points (2W 3D 9L).

• Tolima read L-L-D-D-D-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (0W 4D 2L) — patchy.

• Deportivo Pasto read L-L-D-L-W-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 1D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Head to head the record reads 3-1-2 — Tolima wins, draws, then Deportivo Pasto wins. Their last meeting finished Deportivo Pasto - Tolima: 0-2.

• Our last-six model flags 4 qualifying strikes here. Reading Tolima first, then Deportivo Pasto, out of their last six: HT DRAW 4 and 4, U 1.50 2 and 4, HT U 1.50 4 and 6, NG 2 and 6.

• Tolima lean hardest on Alvino Volpi Neto (9.5), Anderson Angulo (9.3), Jan Angulo (8.6) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Deportivo Pasto lean hardest on Enrique Serje (9.5), Diego Chavez (9.3), Jonathan Perlaza (9.1) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: Tolima at 1.45 is short enough that the value, if there is any, sits on the handicap or in the goals market rather than the outright.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 25th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.