26th October JUVENTUDE - NAUTICO

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• This is priced as a mismatch. Juventude is the shortest price on a book of 1.46 / 3.9 / 7 (1 / X / 2), an implied 63.2%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 63.2% / 23.6% / 13.2% on an overround of 8.4%.

• In the league table Juventude sit 3rd on 61 points (17W 10D 7L) with Nautico 15th on 43 points (11W 10D 13L).

• Juventude read D-D-W-W-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 2D 1L) — patchy.

• Nautico read D-L-L-D-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 2D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Head to head the record reads 0-1-0 — Juventude wins, draws, then Nautico wins. Their last meeting finished Nautico - Juventude: 0-0.

• Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Juventude first, then Nautico, out of their last six: NG 3 and 4.

• Juventude lean hardest on Fabio Costa (9.5), Rodrigo Sam (9.1), Diogo Barbosa (8.7) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Nautico lean hardest on Betao (9.5), Wenderson da Silva Costa Ferreira (9.5), Vinicius (9.4) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: Juventude at 1.46 is short enough that the value, if there is any, sits on the handicap or in the goals market rather than the outright.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 25th October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.