24th October FAKEL - RODINA

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• The market has a firm view on this one. Fakel is the shortest price on a book of 2.13 / 3.30 / 3.60 (1 / X / 2), an implied 44.7%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 44.7% / 28.9% / 26.4% on an overround of 5.0%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.30 (28.9%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Fakel sit 15th on 6 points (1W 3D 7L) with Rodina 16th on 6 points (1W 3D 7L).

• Fakel read W-L-L-D-L-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 1D 4L) — poor.

• Rodina read D-L-D-L-L-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (0W 2D 4L) — poor.

• Head to head the record reads 0-0-2 — Fakel wins, draws, then Rodina wins. Their last meeting finished Fakel - Rodina: 1-3.

• Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Fakel first, then Rodina, out of their last six: HT DRAW 4 and 5.

• Fakel lean hardest on Albert Gabarayev (9.5), Aleksei Sutormin (8.8), Vyacheslav Yakimov (8.8) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Rodina lean hardest on Yordy Reyna (9.5), Artem Maksimenko (9.1), German Onugha (8.9) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: Fakel at 2.13 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 23rd October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.