24th October ALVERCA - AROUCA

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• The market has a firm view on this one. Alverca is the shortest price on a book of 2.05 / 3.3 / 3.5 (1 / X / 2), an implied 45.3%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 45.3% / 28.1% / 26.5% on an overround of 7.7%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.3 (28.1%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Alverca sit 9th on 11 points (3W 2D 3L) with Arouca 5th on 14 points (4W 2D 2L).

• Alverca read W-W-W-L-D-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 1D 2L) — patchy.

• Arouca read W-D-L-D-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 2D 2L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 1-0-1 — Alverca wins, draws, then Arouca wins. Their last meeting finished Alverca - Arouca: 2-1.

• Alverca lean hardest on Davy Gui (9.5), Francisco Jorge Tavares Oliveira (9.5), Lucas Figueiredo (9.1) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Arouca lean hardest on Nais Djouahra (9.5), Jose Fontan (9.5), Taichi Fukui (9.3) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: Alverca at 2.05 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 23rd October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.