24th October SAMBENEDETTESE - LIVORNO

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• Bookmakers have this as close to a coin toss as the 1X2 market gets. Livorno is the shortest price on a book of 2.69 / 3.04 / 2.65 (1 / X / 2), an implied 35.0%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 34.5% / 30.5% / 35.0% on an overround of 7.8%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.04 (30.5%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Sambenedettese sit 7th on 0 points (0W 0D 0L) with Livorno 8th on 0 points (0W 0D 0L).

• Sambenedettese read D-L-W-W-D-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 3D 1L) — patchy.

• Livorno read W-W-L-W-L-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 0D 3L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 0-1-1 — Sambenedettese wins, draws, then Livorno wins. Their last meeting finished Sambenedettese - Livorno: 0-0.

• The read: Everything here points at a tight, low-tempo game. The draw at 3.04 is the selection the numbers keep coming back to, and the unders are the natural second look.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 23rd October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.