24th October CAGLIARI - BOLOGNA

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• There is a clear but slim favourite here. Bologna is the shortest price on a book of 3.2 / 3 / 2.45 (1 / X / 2), an implied 38.7%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 29.6% / 31.6% / 38.7% on an overround of 5.4%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3 (31.6%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Cagliari sit 7th on 13 points (4W 1D 2L) with Bologna 15th on 5 points (1W 2D 4L).

• Cagliari read L-D-W-W-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 1D 2L) — patchy.

• Bologna read L-W-D-L-D-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 2D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Head to head the record reads 0-1-5 — Cagliari wins, draws, then Bologna wins. Their last meeting finished Bologna - Cagliari: 0-0.

• Cagliari are without 2 — Riyad Idrissi (Out - injured), Mattia Felici (Out - injured).

• Bologna are without 3 — Emil Holm (Out - injured), Roberto Piccoli (Out - injured), Riccardo Orsolini (Out - injured).

• Early lineups are in: Cagliari set up 4-3-2-1 against 3-4-3. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.

• Cagliari lean hardest on Harry Winks (8.6), Michel Adopo (8.6), Elia Caprile (8.6) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Mattia Felici is out for Cagliari — index 5.5, against 9.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Bologna lean hardest on Juan Miranda (8.8), Nicolò Cambiaghi (8.8), Lewis Ferguson (8.8) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Emil Holm is out for Bologna — index 7.6, against 8.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Roberto Piccoli is out for Bologna — index 8.0, against 8.7 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Riccardo Orsolini is out for Bologna — index 6.1, against 8.7 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• The projected score for this one is Cagliari 2 - 1 Bologna, a home win by 1 with 3 goals in it — on the right side of the 2.5 line.

• The read: Everything here points at a tight, low-tempo game. The draw at 3 is the selection the numbers keep coming back to, and the unders are the natural second look.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 23rd October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.