24th October SSC NAPOLI - ROMA

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• There is barely a price between the sides. Roma is the shortest price on a book of 2.88 / 3.1 / 2.6 (1 / X / 2), an implied 36.5%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 32.9% / 30.6% / 36.5% on an overround of 5.4%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.1 (30.6%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Ssc Napoli sit 9th on 10 points (3W 1D 3L) with Roma 3rd on 17 points (5W 2D 0L).

• Ssc Napoli read W-L-L-W-D-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 1D 2L) — patchy.

• Roma read W-W-L-D-D-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 2D 1L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 2-2-0 — Ssc Napoli wins, draws, then Roma wins. Their last meeting finished Ssc Napoli - Roma: 2-2.

• Ssc Napoli team news: Following a recent setback in Venice, Napoli are aiming to secure crucial league points, with Allegri likely to set up his team in a 3-4-2-1 formation.

• Ssc Napoli team news: Meret holds onto his place in goal, with a central defensive trio expected to include Beukema, Rrahmani, and Badiashile, while Marín takes a rest.

• Roma team news: Roma are likely to adopt a similar 3-4-2-1 formation to their opponents, but Gasperini faces a significant selection dilemma with four key players missing: Svilar, Dybala, Koné, and Pellegrini.

• Roma team news: Gollini is in goal, with Mancini and Ndicka rejoining Hermoso in a reshuffled defensive line.

• Ssc Napoli are without 5 — Antonio Vergara (Out - injured), Costantino Favasuli (Out - injured), Alessandro Buongiorno (Out - injured), Alisson Santos (Out - injured), David Neres (Out - injured).

• Roma are without 4 — Paulo Dybala (Out - injured), Manu Koné (Out - injured), Mile Svilar (Out - injured), Lorenzo Pellegrini (Out - injured).

• Early lineups are in: Ssc Napoli set up 3-4-2-1 against 3-4-2-1. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.

• Ssc Napoli lean hardest on Stanislav Lobotka (8.3), Giovanni Di Lorenzo (8.3), Amir Rrahmani (8.3) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Antonio Vergara is out for Ssc Napoli — index 5.7, against 9.1 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Alisson Santos is out for Ssc Napoli — index 5.6, against 9.1 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• David Neres is out for Ssc Napoli — index 7.1, against 9.1 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Roma lean hardest on Mario Hermoso (9.5), Wesley (9.5), Gianluca Mancini (8.9) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Paulo Dybala is out for Roma — index 7.5, against 7.8 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Manu Koné is out for Roma — index 7.2, against 7.8 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Mile Svilar is out for Roma — index 5.9, against 7.0 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Lorenzo Pellegrini is out for Roma — index 7.2, against 8.2 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• The projected score for this one is Ssc Napoli 2 - 2 Roma, a draw with 4 goals in it — on the right side of the 2.5 line.

• The read: Everything here points at a tight, low-tempo game. The draw at 3.1 is the selection the numbers keep coming back to, and the unders are the natural second look.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 23rd October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.