24th October MAINZ 05 - WERDER BREMEN

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• This is priced as a comfortable favourite. Mainz 05 is the shortest price on a book of 1.73 / 4 / 4.5 (1 / X / 2), an implied 55.0%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 55.0% / 23.8% / 21.2% on an overround of 5.0%.

• In the league table Mainz 05 sit 5th on 10 points (3W 1D 2L) with Werder Bremen 8th on 9 points (2W 3D 1L).

• Mainz 05 read W-L-W-L-W-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 1D 2L) — patchy.

• Werder Bremen read D-D-W-D-W-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (2W 3D 1L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 1-1-2 — Mainz 05 wins, draws, then Werder Bremen wins. Their last meeting finished Werder Bremen - Mainz 05: 0-2.

• Mainz 05 lean hardest on Stefan Posch (9.5), Nadiem Amiri (9.5), Phillip Tietz (9.5) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Werder Bremen lean hardest on Karl Hein (9.5), Amos Pieper (9.3), Olivier Deman (9.3) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: Mainz 05 at 1.73 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 23rd October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.