24th October CHELSEA - TOTTENHAM

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• This is priced as a comfortable favourite. Chelsea is the shortest price on a book of 1.7 / 4 / 4.5 (1 / X / 2), an implied 55.5%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 55.5% / 23.6% / 21.0% on an overround of 6.0%.

• In the league table Chelsea sit 4th on 13 points (4W 1D 2L) with Tottenham 16th on 6 points (1W 3D 3L).

• Chelsea read W-W-L-D-L-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (3W 1D 2L) — patchy.

• Tottenham read W-D-L-D-D-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 3D 2L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 5-0-1 — Chelsea wins, draws, then Tottenham wins. Their last meeting finished Chelsea - Tottenham: 1-2.

• Chelsea team news: Emiliano Martinez will be out of action for a few weeks due to a jaw fracture sustained in the victory over Everton.

• Chelsea team news: Mike Penders, the young Belgian goalkeeper, will make his first full Premier League appearance.

• Tottenham team news: Tottenham are hopeful that full-backs Pedro Porro and Destiny Udogie will recover in time, as both missed the win over Coventry.

• Tottenham team news: Lucas Bergvall is still out with a knee injury picked up in the match against Manchester United.

• Chelsea are without 4 — Emiliano Martínez (Out - injured), Jamie Gittens (Doubtful - injured), Pep Chavarría (Doubtful - injured), Reece James (Doubtful - injured).

• Tottenham are without 9 — Sávio (Out - injured), Pedro Porro (Doubtful - injured), Rodrigo Bentancur (Out - suspended), Wilson Odobert (Out - injured), Xavi Simons (Out - injured), Destiny Udogie (Doubtful - injured). Losing Sávio (7.17/10) is the kind of absence that moves a price.

• Early lineups are in: Chelsea set up 3-4-3 against 4-2-3-1. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.

• Chelsea lean hardest on Maxence Lacroix (9.5), Levi Colwill (9.5), Morgan Rogers (8.9) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Pep Chavarría is out for Chelsea — index 6.6, against 9.4 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Reece James is out for Chelsea — index 6.2, against 9.4 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Tottenham lean hardest on Antonín Kinsky (9.5), Jan Paul van Hecke (8.9), Destiny Udogie (8.9) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Sávio is out for Tottenham — index 8.6, against 8.7 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Pedro Porro is out for Tottenham — index 6.8, against 9.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Rodrigo Bentancur is out for Tottenham — index 7.0, against 8.7 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Destiny Udogie is out for Tottenham — index 6.5, against 9.5 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Lucas Bergvall is out for Tottenham — index 6.3, against 8.7 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• The projected score for this one is Chelsea 2 - 1 Tottenham, a home win by 1 with 3 goals in it — on the right side of the 2.5 line.

• The read: Chelsea at 1.7 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 23rd October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.