24th October ARSENAL - EVERTON

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• This is priced as a mismatch. Arsenal is the shortest price on a book of 1.36 / 5 / 8 (1 / X / 2), an implied 69.3%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 69.3% / 18.9% / 11.8% on an overround of 6.0%.

• In the league table Arsenal sit 2nd on 18 points (6W 0D 1L) with Everton 8th on 10 points (2W 4D 1L).

• Arsenal read D-W-W-W-L-W across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (4W 1D 1L) — a strong recent run.

• Everton read L-D-W-D-D-D across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 4D 1L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 2-4-0 — Arsenal wins, draws, then Everton wins. Their last meeting finished Arsenal - Everton: 2-0.

• Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Arsenal first, then Everton, out of their last six: HT DRAW 5 and 4.

• Arsenal team news: Piero Hincapie might feature after overcoming an ankle injury.

• Arsenal team news: William Saliba (back) and Christos Tzolis (muscle) are still unavailable for Arsenal.

• Everton team news: David Moyes has a fully fit squad available but might make alterations after the loss to Chelsea.

• Everton team news: Brennan Johnson and Tyrique George are both competing for a place in the starting lineup out wide.

• Arsenal are without 3 — Christos Tzolis (Out - injured), William Saliba (Out - injured), Piero Hincapié (Doubtful - injured).

• Everton are without 1 — Vitalii Mykolenko (Doubtful - injured).

• Early lineups are in: Arsenal set up 4-2-3-1 against 4-2-3-1. See the pitch graphic above for the full XI.

• Arsenal lean hardest on Bruno Guimarães (8.6), Ezri Konsa (8.3), David Raya (8.2) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Christos Tzolis is out for Arsenal — index 6.0, against 8.8 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Piero Hincapié is out for Arsenal — index 5.6, against 9.2 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• Everton lean hardest on Jordan Pickford (8.8), James Tarkowski (8.8), Vitalii Mykolenko (8.8) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Vitalii Mykolenko is out for Everton — index 8.8, against 9.1 for the best cover we hold at his position. Well covered.

• The projected score for this one is Arsenal 2 - 0 Everton, a home win by 2 with 2 goals in it — short of the 2.5 line.

• The read: Arsenal at 1.36 is short enough that the value, if there is any, sits on the handicap or in the goals market rather than the outright.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 23rd October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.