24th October NORTHAMPTON - COLCHESTER

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• Bookmakers are siding decisively with one team. Northampton is the shortest price on a book of 1.96 / 3.25 / 3.75 (1 / X / 2), an implied 47.0%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 47.0% / 28.4% / 24.6% on an overround of 8.5%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.25 (28.4%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Northampton sit 23rd on 10 points (2W 4D 4L) with Colchester 19th on 12 points (2W 6D 3L).

• Northampton read L-W-D-L-L-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 1D 4L) — poor.

• Colchester read D-D-L-D-D-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (0W 4D 2L) — patchy.

• Head to head the record reads 4-0-2 — Northampton wins, draws, then Colchester wins. Their last meeting finished Colchester - Northampton: 0-1.

• Northampton lean hardest on Jon Guthrie (9.5), Elliott Moore (9.5), Zach Jeacock (9.5) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• Colchester lean hardest on Ellis Iandolo (9.5), Jack Tucker (9.5), Thimothée Lo-Tutala (9.5) on our Player Index — how much of the side's football each man accounts for, out of 10. It measures involvement and cover, not performance.

• The read: Northampton at 1.96 is the side the market is with, and nothing in the data above argues against it.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 23rd October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.