24th October LEONES - ORSOMARSO

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• The market cannot separate these two. Leones is the shortest price on a book of 2.57 / 3.02 / 2.80 (1 / X / 2), an implied 36.1%. Across the three outcomes the book reads 36.1% / 30.7% / 33.1% on an overround of 7.7%.

• The draw is unusually well backed at 3.02 (30.7%), which normally points to a cagey, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

• In the league table Leones sit 15th on 14 points (3W 5D 6L) with Orsomarso 14th on 14 points (3W 5D 6L).

• Leones read L-W-D-D-L-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 2D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Orsomarso read L-D-W-L-D-L across their last 6 in all competitions, most recent first (1W 2D 3L) — more bad than good.

• Head to head the record reads 2-0-1 — Leones wins, draws, then Orsomarso wins. Their last meeting finished Leones - Orsomarso: 2-0.

• Our last-six model flags 1 qualifying strike here. Reading Leones first, then Orsomarso, out of their last six: U 1.50 3 and 4.

• The read: Everything here points at a tight, low-tempo game. The draw at 3.02 is the selection the numbers keep coming back to, and the unders are the natural second look.

• This analysis is generated automatically from BTFNews odds, market and statistical data at 06:50 on 23rd October 2026. It is information, not advice — always check team news before the off.